NEW reports on seasonal outlooks from the US National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration’s (NOAA) Climate Prediction Centre and the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts have spotted an important warming signal that, if it strengthens, could have powerful repercussions on Southern California and worldwide.

Forecasters say ocean heat building along the equator today could set the stage for an unusually strong El Nino later this year, a climate pattern that US agency says could tilt the odds toward wetter, stormier weather in Southern California and other parts of the West, and send ripple effects that could impact the Atlantic Ocean hurricane season and weather systems as far-flung as Southeast Asia. The agency defines El Nino and La Nina as opposite phases of the El Nino-Southern Oscillation, or ENSO, and El Nino tends to shift the winter storm track south, raising the chances of wetter-than-normal conditions in Southern California, while La Nina often nudges storms north, increasing the odds of drier stretches. — Xinhua

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